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  1. ITC to announce Q3 results today: Check earnings preview and technicals

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ITC to announce Q3 results today: Check earnings preview and technicals

Upstox

4 min read | Updated on February 06, 2025, 10:51 IST

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SUMMARY

Ahead of its Q3 earnings announcement, the options market is pricing in a potential move of ±5% in ITC. Meanwhile, the stock remains range-bound within its Budget Day levels, forming three consecutive inside candles on the daily chart.

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ITC profitability may take a hit, with net profit likely to decline by 6-8% year-on-year to ₹5,100-5,230 crore.

ITC profitability may take a hit, with net profit likely to decline by 6-8% year-on-year to ₹5,100-5,230 crore. | Image: Shutterstock

Diversified conglomerate ITC will announce its third quarter results on 6 February. The FMCG giant is expected to post mixed results, with revenue likely to rise but net profit likely to fall.

Experts expect ITC's standalone revenue to grow 8-11% year-on-year to ₹17,950-₹18,420 crore, driven by stronger sales in its FMCG and cigarette businesses. However, the company's profitability may take a hit, with net profit likely to decline by 6-8% year-on-year to ₹5,100-5,230 crore. This decline is mainly due to the high base effect from last year, as ITC benefited from a tax reversal in Q3FY24.

Investors will be closely monitoring the performance of ITC's key businesses - FMCG, cigarettes, hotels and agribusiness - during the results announcement. In addition, management's commentary on demand trends and consumption, particularly in rural areas, will be closely scrutinised.

Ahead of the Q3 result announcement, ITC shares are trading 0.97% lower at ₹443 per share on Thursday, February 6.

Technical View

Shares of ITC are currently trading at a crucial stage, consolidating within the range of the budget day range. It has formed three consecutive inside candles on the daily chart and is consolidating around all the major daily exponential moving averages (EMAs) such as the 21, 50 and 200. For directional clues, traders can look at the high and low of the budget day candle. A close above or below these levels will provide further directional clues.

ITC11.webp

Options outlook

ITC's at-the-money (ATM) strike price for February 27 expiry is 445, with both call and put options priced at ₹22. This implies that traders are anticipating a price movement of approximately ±5%.

Before planning strategies, let's examine ITC’s historical price behaviour during past earnings announcements.

ITC22.webp

Options strategies for ITC

With the options market predicting a price movement of ±5% till February 27, traders can consider long and short straddle strategies to take advantage of the expected volatility.

A long straddle involves buying both an at-the-money call and put option on ITC with the same strike price and expiry date. This option buying strategy will profit if the share price moves significantly more than ±5% in either direction.
Conversely, if you expect ITC to remain range-bound and move less than ±5% till February 27 expiry, you can implement a short straddle strategy. This involves selling an ATM call and a put option with the same strike price and expiry date. The strategy will profit from the fall in volatility if the stock moves less than ±5% before the options expire.

Meanwhile, traders seeking a more strategic approach to bullish or bearish options trading can explore directional spreads, which provide a refined alternative to simple option buying.

  • For a bullish outlook, a bull call spread involves buying a call option while simultaneously selling a higher strike call with the same expiration, reducing cost while capping potential gains.
  • Conversely, for a bearish stance, a bear put spread consists of buying a put option and selling a lower strike put, balancing risk and reward.
For a deeper dive into Straddles, explore our UpLearn educational content for comprehensive insights. Interested in historical earnings price data? Join our community and connect with us—we’d be delighted to share it with you!

Disclaimer: Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for educational purposes. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities and strategies for trading. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely for showing how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.
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