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  1. Maruti Suzuki Q1 results: How to trade in Maruti Suzuki ahead of its June quarter earnings?

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Maruti Suzuki Q1 results: How to trade in Maruti Suzuki ahead of its June quarter earnings?

Upstox

3 min read | Updated on July 31, 2024, 10:38 IST

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SUMMARY

For the past four months, Maruti Suzuki has been consolidating between ₹13,000 and ₹12,000. Currently, the stock is trading near its critical trendline resistance, showing a crossover between its 20- and 50-day moving averages. With the options market pricing in a potential move of ±5.5% ahead of 29 August, traders should closely monitor the stock for directional clues.

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Maruti F&O strategy: Will Maruti break the four-month consolidation?

Maruti F&O strategy: Will Maruti break the four-month consolidation?

India's largest carmaker, Maruti Suzuki India, will announce its June quarter results on 31 July. Experts believe that Maruti Suzuki could report healthy earnings growth led by strong consumer demand and a favourable product mix.

Maruti Suzuki's Q1 revenue could grow in the range of 8%-9% YoY to ₹35,000 to ₹35,200 crore. The carmaker's net profit could grow between 35%-36% YoY to ₹3,300 to ₹3,450 crore, helped by robust sales in the commercial vehicle segment.

In addition, the company's EBITDA margin could increase by 250 to 280 basis points to over 12% as a result of improved capacity utilisation and lower raw material prices.

Ahead of its Q1 results, Maruti Suzuki shares are trading 0.8% higher at ₹12,986. The stock has gained over 23% this year.

Technical view

Maruti Suzuki has been consolidating between ₹13,000 and ₹12,000 range since March 2024. Despite multiple attempts, the stock has failed to break the rectangle pattern on either side on closing basis. However, it continues to hold its 20 week moving average and is trading above it.

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Additionally, the stock is experiencing a crossover of its short-term 20 day moving average and 50-day moving average on the daily chart (DMA), trading near its crucial trendline resistance. The stock has failed to break above this trendline on three previous occasions and has encountered resistance in this area. Directional traders should closely monitor stock's movement around this trendline, a break above or below it will offer further clues.

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Options overview

Open interest data for the 29 August expiry shows a high concentration of call option at 13,000 strike, suggesting resistance for Maruti Suzuki around this level. Conversely, the put options base is set at 12,000 strike, establishing it as the support zone.

As of 2:20 pm on 30 July, Maruti Susuki’s 29 August at-the-money (ATM) strike was 12,900, with both call and put options priced at ₹713. This implies an expected price movement of ±5.5%, learning up to the 29 August expiry. To make more informed trading decisions, let's look at Maruti Suzuki’s historical price behaviour during previous earnings announcements.
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Options strategy for Maruti Suzuki

Given the implied movement of ±5.5% from the options market ahead of the 29 August expiry, traders can consider using long and short Straddle strategies to capitalise on the anticipated volatility and potential price swings.

Put simply, a long straddle involves buying both an at-the-money (ATM) call and put option of Maruti Suzuki with the same strike price and expiry dates. This strategy benefits when the share price moves significantly more than ±5.5% in either direction.
A short straddle, on the other hand, involves selling an ATM call and put option with the same strike price and expiry dates. In this approach, strategy benefits shares of Maruti Suzuki remain relatively stable and move less than ±5.5% before the contracts expire.
To learn more about Straddles, check out our UpLearn educational content for an in-depth understanding. If you want to explore more historical earnings price data,join our community and get in touch—we'd be happy to share it with you!

Disclaimer

Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for educational purposes. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities and strategies for trading. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely for showing how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.

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About The Author

Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.

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