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  1. Tata Steel, SAIL, and NMDC in focus as a safeguard duty on steel imports likely to be imposed soon

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Tata Steel, SAIL, and NMDC in focus as a safeguard duty on steel imports likely to be imposed soon

Upstox

4 min read | Updated on February 24, 2025, 11:05 IST

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SUMMARY

The NIFTY Metal index surged over 5% last week, emerging as the top-performing sector. Leading the gains, stocks like Tata Steel, NMDC, and Steel Authority of India reclaimed their 21-day and 50-day exponential moving averages, posting weekly gains in the range of 5% to 10%.

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NMDC reclaimed its 21-day and 50-day EMAs last week. | Image: Shutterstock

Metal stocks, including Tata Steel, SAIL and NMDC, continued their bullish trend on 21st February, rising between 1% and 3%. This comes after reports emerged that the government is likely to impose a safeguard duty on steel imports to protect domestic players.

Last week, U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement to impose a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminium imports further strengthened the case for domestic players to seek protection from the government. TV Narendran, CEO and managing director of Tata Steel, said the industry is expecting news from the government soon on safeguard duties after it raised concerns about the same.

Over the past few years, the domestic steel industry has been adversely affected by the influx of cheaper Chinese steel. Imported steel prices remain significantly lower than domestic prices, even with a basic duty of 7.5%, resulting in lower profit margins for domestic players and discouraging new investment in the sector.

Stocks in focus

Tata Steel shares closed above the immediate resistance zone around ₹138 on Friday, reclaiming both the 21-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). For the upcoming sessions, traders should closely watch its price action as it nears the critical 200-day EMA, positioned around ₹144. A decisive close above this level could strengthen bullish momentum, while a rejection and a close below the 21-day EMA may weaken sentiment.
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Similarly, NMDC reclaimed its 21-day and 50-day EMAs last week, approaching the immediate resistance zone at ₹69. For directional cues, traders should monitor its price action around ₹69 and the 200-day EMA. A decisive close above these levels could drive further upside, while a rejection may push it back into a consolidation phase between ₹69 and ₹59.

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Steel Authority of India (SAIL) also gained positive momentum last week, reclaiming its 21-day and 50-day EMAs. However, it faced resistance near ₹115, limiting further gains. A breakout above this level could extend the rally toward the 200-day EMA, strengthening the bullish outlook. Conversely, if the stock fails to surpass this resistance, it may enter a consolidation phase within the ₹99-₹115 range.

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Bullish outlook on Tata Steel, NMDC and SAIL

If you believe that the Tata Steel, NMDC and SAIL will extend the bullish momentum, you can plan a long call strategy. Let's understand this with the example of Tata Steel. The nearest expiry for Tata Steel is Thursday (27 Feb).
Tata Steel closed at ₹140.76 on Friday and the at-the-money strike is 141. If you buy an ATM call, the breakeven for this strategy will be ₹143, which is 1.5% from the closing price of Friday. If Tata Steel moves up more than this, then the strategy will be profitable.

Bearish outlook on Tata Steel, NMDC and SAIL

If you believe that Tata Steel, NMDC and SAIL will run into resistance around their 200-day EMA and fall, you can consider a long put strategy to take advantage of the potential downside. Let's understand this with the same example of Tata Steel.

With an at-the-money (ATM) strike of 141, if you buy an ATM put option, the breakeven point will be ₹139, which is 1.2% from Friday's close of ₹140.76. If Tata Steel falls beyond this level, the strategy becomes profitable.

Conclusion

In a nutshell, a long-call strategy allows traders to profit from potential upside moves, while a long-put strategy benefits from declines. Options provide flexibility to capitalise on various market conditions—whether bullish, bearish or range-bound. However, past performance is not indicative of future results. Before implementing any strategy, it is crucial to assess the risks and have a well-defined loss mitigation plan in place.


Disclaimer

Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for educational purposes. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities and strategies for trading. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely for showing how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.

Upstox

About The Author

Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.

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