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Short-term spike in 10Y bond yields as uncertainty rises

Upstox

1 min read | Updated on June 04, 2024, 13:13 IST

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SUMMARY

Like the equity markets, bond yields are also reflecting the uncertainty that is currently underway. Yields have spiked above 7% after trading around 6.9% in the past two trading days.

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Short-term spike in 10Y bond yields as uncertainty rises

How are bonds yield reacting?

Bond yields have seen a spike as investors await the results of the elections. As current counting trends show divergence from exit poll results, bond yields are hovering close to 7.1%, as compared to around 6.9% over the last two trading days.

What do spiking bond yields mean? In this case, a spike in the 10-year bond yields (interest rates) indicate a risk averse approach by investors amid uncertainty about the political stability in the country.

India 10Y bond yield trend since May 2024

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Source: Investing.com; *June 4 performance is around 12:10 pm

What is the longer trend showing?

India 10Y bond yield trend since January 2024

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Source: Investing.com; *June 4 performance is around 12:10 pm

While there has been a spike in yields today, we are still far away from the 7.2% seen in January 2024. If the new government is not formed with a strong majority, investors would start to worry and keenly watch steps taken towards financial consolidation, which could further start to impact yields.

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Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.

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