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  1. Silver reclaims ₹89,000, crude oil sustains bullish momentum; check today's trade setup

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Silver reclaims ₹89,000, crude oil sustains bullish momentum; check today's trade setup

Upstox

4 min read | Updated on December 26, 2024, 18:45 IST

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SUMMARY

From the technical standpoint, the crude oil is sustaining previous week’s bullish momentum and is maintaining the flag and pole pattern, highlighted on 19 December in our trade setup blog.

The technical setup and price action of the yellow metal remained range-bound.

The technical setup and price action of the yellow metal remained range-bound.

Market recap (as of 6:30 pm)

  • Gold 5 Feb Futures: ₹76,740/ 10 gram (▲ 0.62%)
  • Silver 5 March Futures: ₹89,926/ 1 kg (▲ 0.67%)
  • Crude Oil 17 Jan Futures: ₹6,039/ 1 BBL (▲ 0.99%)
Gold: The yellow metal trades marginally higher today, with spot gold trading 0.41% higher at $2,646 per ounce. Gold prices are higher amid a weaker dollar. The US dollar index was slightly lower on Thursday but hovered near a two-year high it touched last week. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also contributed to gold rise today.
Silver: Silver also traded higher, up 0.41% at $30.40 per ounce in the spot market. Precious metal investors are looking forward to key economic data, including US initial jobless claim numbers to be announced later in the day.
Crude Oil: Oil prices are trading higher on Thursday, with Brent Futures trading around $73.58, up 0.56%, while WTI Crude traded 0.66% higher around $70.55. Oil edged higher in a holiday shortened week amid hopes for additional fiscal stimulus in China, the world's biggest oil importer, and supported by an industry report showing a decline in U.S. crude inventories.

Technical structure

Gold: The technical setup and price action of the yellow metal remained range-bound and is trading within previous week’s range. The price of Gold’s February Futures contract is currently consolidating around its 21 and 50 day exponential moving average (EMA) and has protected the immediate swing low of 26 November on closing basis. This indicates presence of buyers and support for the gold in this zone. Unless it's slips below this support zone, the trend may remain range-bound.
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Silver: The silver prices extended the winning momentum for the fourth consecutive day and recovered the majority of its previous week’s losses. Currently, it has reached an immediate resistance zone of 89,500 to 90,000. If it reclaims this zone on a closing basis, then the trend may become sideways to bullish and may attempt to test its 20 EMA. On the flip side, a rejection from this zone may lead to weakness and range-bound movement between 90,000 and 85,000.
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Crude oil: Oil prices sustained the positive momentum of previous week and traded above the immediate support zone of 21 and 50 EMAs. It is also sustaining the structure of flag and pole, highlighted in our 19 December’s blog, indicating continuation of the positive momentum.

A pole and flag pattern is a continuation pattern seen in technical analysis. The sharp price movement (pole) is followed by a consolidation phase (flag), often leading to a breakout in the direction of the initial trend. However, it is important to note that the Futures contract of 17 January is reaching the immediate resistance zone of 6,100 on the daily chart. A close above this will lead to continuation of bullish momentum. On the other hand, a rejection from this zone and a close below 5,850 will invalidate the pattern.

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The open interest data for the 15 January expiry saw significant additions of put options at 5,900 and 6,000 strikes, pointing at support for the crude oil around this area. On the flip side, the call base was seen at 6,000 and 6,100, with relatively low volume.

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Disclaimer:

Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for the client's consumption, and such material should not be redistributed. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities, or strategies for trading. The securities quoted are exemplary and are not recommendatory. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely to show how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.

About The Author

Upstox
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