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  1. MCX Gold and Silver see profit booking, Crude trades range-bound; check today’s trade setup

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MCX Gold and Silver see profit booking, Crude trades range-bound; check today’s trade setup

Upstox

2 min read | Updated on March 20, 2025, 19:05 IST

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SUMMARY

MCX Gold faces profit booking, while silver slips below ₹99,700 support. MCX crude oil remains range-bound in today's trading session.

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Commodity trade setup Jan 16: Gold and Silver shine bright in lead-up to Donald Trump’s swearing-in

Market recap (as of 7:00 pm)

  • Gold 4 April Futures: ₹88,528/ 10 gram (▼ 0.08%)
  • Silver 5 May Futures: ₹99,005/ 1 kg (▼ 0.92%)
  • Crude Oil 21 April Futures: ₹5,805/ 1 BBL (▼ 0.29%)

Technical structure

Gold: Gold opened Thursday’s session on a positive note but faced profit booking at higher levels. The broader trend remains bullish, with prices up over 3% since the breakout on March 12. In the short term, gold may consolidate and trade within a range at higher levels, with support near the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA). A break below the 21-day EMA on a closing basis could signal weakness.
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Silver: Silver extended its decline for the second straight session, slipping below the crucial ₹99,700 support on MCX. It found support near the 21-day EMA but continues to face selling pressure at higher levels.

The broader trend remains bullish as long as silver holds above the 50-day EMA and the trendline support connecting the December and February lows. A decisive close below these levels could signal weakness. However, bullish momentum will resume if silver reclaims the immediate resistance at ₹1,01,980 on a closing basis.

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Crude oil: Oil prices remained range-bound for the 11th straight session, consolidating within the March 5 range. The broader structure of the crude remains weak as it is currently trading below its 21-day and 50-day EMAs. Meanwhile, for further directional clues, traders can monitor the price action between ₹5,934 and ₹5,675. A breakout of this range on a closing basis will provide further directional insights.
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The open interest (OI) data for the April 16 expiry saw significant call and put OI build-up at 5,800 strike, indicating consolidation for the crude around these levels. Additionally, substantial call base was also visible at 5,900 strike, suggesting resistance for crude around these levels.

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Disclaimer:

Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for the client's consumption, and such material should not be redistributed. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities, or strategies for trading. The securities quoted are exemplary and are not recommendatory. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely to show how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.

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Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.

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