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  1. MCX crude oil consolidates around ₹6,700, Gold sustain bullish momentum ahead of US inflation data

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MCX crude oil consolidates around ₹6,700, Gold sustain bullish momentum ahead of US inflation data

Upstox

3 min read | Updated on January 15, 2025, 18:16 IST

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SUMMARY

Gold resumed its uptrend after a three-day consolidation and is trading near the immediate resistance zone of ₹79,200. For short-term clues, traders can monitor the immediate range of ₹79,200 and ₹78,000. A break of this range with a strong candle on an intraday or closing basis will provide directional clues.

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Commodity trade setup Jan 15: Gold sustains previous week’s bullish momentum, Crude oil consolidates around ₹6,700

Market recap (as of 5:00 pm)

  • Gold 5 Feb Futures: ₹78,541/ 10 gram (▲ 0.49%)
  • Silver 5 March Futures: ₹91,152/ 1 kg (▲ 0.66%)
  • Crude Oil 17 Jan Futures: ₹6,716/ 100 BBL (▼ 0.30%)
Gold: The yellow metal is trading nearly 1% higher, with gold February Futures trading 0.96% lower at $2,708 per ounce. According to experts, gold prices are in the green after softer-than-expected producer inflation data in the prior session, which spurred some hopes that inflation will ease further in the coming months. A marginal decline in the US dollar index also supported gold prices.
Silver: Silver also traded higher, up 1.09% at $30.68 per ounce in the spot market. Precious metal investors look forward to key economic data, including the US December inflation data, which will be announced at 7 pm Indian time.
Crude Oil: Oil prices are trading higher on Wednesday, with Brent Futures trading around $80.14, up 0.28%, while WTI Crude traded 0.46% higher around $76.73. As per experts, the latest round of US sanctions on Russian oil seems to be supporting global oil prices. However, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the full impact of sanctions on access to Russian supply is still uncertain.

Technical structure

Gold: The yellow metal resumed its uptrend after three days of consolidation and is currently trading near the crucial resistance zone of ₹79,200. It is currently trading above its all the exponential moving averages like 21 and 50, suggesting that the breadth remains positive.

For the short-term clues, traders can monitor the range of ₹79,200 and ₹78,000. A breakout of this range with a strong candle on intraday or closing basis will provide directional clues.

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Silver: Silver protected its 21 EMA on a closing basis and formed a doji candle on 14 January. A doji is a neutral candlestick pattern, reflecting indecision. Currently, Silver is trading above the high of the doji pattern, indicating positive momentum.

However, traders should also monitor the resistance zone of 50 and 200 EMA along with the downward sloping trendline. A close above these levels and doji’s high will signal bullish momentum. On the other hand, a close below the doji will indicate weakness.

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Crude oil: After a sharp rally of nearly 15% in the fourteen trading sessions, crude oil witnessed profit-booking in the last two trading sessions. It is currently consolidating around the ₹6,700, suggesting range-bound activity around this level.

However, it is important to note that the broader trend in crude oil remains positive with immediate support around the ₹6,300 zone. As long as crude does not break below this zone, the trend may remain positive. On the other hand, if it breaches ₹6,800 with a strong candle on both intraday and closing basis, it will resume its uptrend.

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The open interest data for the 17 February expiry saw significant call and put build-up at 6,700 strike, suggesting consolidation around this zone. Additionally, substantial call and put base was also seen at 7,000 and 6,500 strikes, indicating that these zones may act as immediate resistance and support levels.

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Disclaimer:

Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for the client's consumption, and such material should not be redistributed. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities, or strategies for trading. The securities quoted are exemplary and are not recommendatory. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely to show how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.

About The Author

Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.

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