return to news
  1. ICICI Bank Q3 results: Check earnings preview and options strategy ahead of results

Market News

ICICI Bank Q3 results: Check earnings preview and options strategy ahead of results

Upstox

3 min read | Updated on January 24, 2025, 09:26 IST

Twitter Page
Linkedin Page
Whatsapp Page

SUMMARY

Shares of ICICI Bank declined nearly 11% in last one month and have slipped to the crucial support zone of 50 weekly EMA. For the upcoming sessions, traders can monitor the range of ₹1,250 and ₹1,200, which broadly aligns with ist weekly 21 and 50 EMA. A close above or below these levels on a daily chart will provide further clues.

Stock list

ICICI Bank shares settled in the green ahead of the release of Q1 results

ICICI Bank is set to announce its December quarter results on Saturday, January 25, 2025| Image source: Shutterstock

ICICI Bank Q3 results: ICICI Bank, a leading private sector lender, is set to announce its December quarter results on Saturday, January 25, 2025. The bank is expected to report muted sequential growth due to an industry-wide slowdown in credit demand.

Experts anticipate an 8-10% year-on-year (YoY) rise in net profit, ranging between ₹11,000 and ₹11,430 crore. However, on a sequential basis, net profit may decline by 1-3%. The Net interest income (NII) is projected to grow 9-11% YoY, reaching ₹20,400-20,600 crore. Sequentially, NII growth is expected to remain flat.

ICICI Bank's asset quality is expected to stay stable, with gross non-performing assets (NPA) around 2% and net NPA at 0.4%. Investors will also closely track key metrics such as loan and deposit growth, net interest margin, and NPA figures when the results are announced.

Ahead of the Q3 results, ICICI Bank shares are trading 0.38% higher at 1,206 per share on Friday, January 24. However, the stock has declined 6.23% so far this month.

Technical View

Shares of ICICI Bank slipped to weekly 50 exponential moving average (EMA) and is currently trading around the crucial support zone. Additionally, it surrendered 200 EMA on the daily chart, indicating that the broader trend remains weak. However, it is important to note that shares of ICICI Bank have declined nearly 11% from its 16 December peak and formed a doji candlestick pattern on 223 January.

Since doji is an indecision pattern, traders can monitor the high and low of the doji. As a close above the high or below the low of the doji will provide further clues.

ICICIBankQ3.webp

Options outlook

The 30 January expiry's open interest data highlights significant concentration of call and put option at the 1200 strike.

ICICI Bank’s at-the-money (ATM) strike for the 30 January expiry stands at 1200, with both call and put options priced at ₹49. This pricing implies that traders anticipate a potential price movement of ±4.1% based on the closing price as of January 25.

To make more informed trading decisions, it is essential to analyse ICICI Bank's historical price behavior during previous earnings announcements.

ICImage2.webp

Options strategy for ICICI Bank

ICICI Bank’s options data for the 30 January expiry implies a potential price swing of ±4.1% in either direction, offering strategic opportunities based on volatility expectations.

For those anticipating increase in volatility, a Long Straddle might be a suitable strategy. This involves buying an ATM call and put option of the same strike price and expiry. This strategy profits if the price of the ICICI Bank moves significantly in either direction beyond the ±4.1% range.
However, if you believe volatility will be subdued, a Short Straddle might be a more appropriate strategy. This entails selling both ATM call and put options of same strike and expiry, profiting if the ICICI Bank stays within the ±4.1% range.
Interested in learning more about Straddles? Check out our UpLearn educational content for a deeper dive. If you're keen on exploring more historical earnings price data like the example above, join our community and get in touch—we'd be happy to share it with you!

Disclaimer Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for educational purposes. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities and strategies for trading. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely for showing how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.
SIP
Consistency beats timing.
promotion image

About The Author

Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.