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  1. Gold and Silver rally over 50% in 2025: Here is what charts indicate after a relentless rally

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Gold and Silver rally over 50% in 2025: Here is what charts indicate after a relentless rally

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3 min read | Updated on October 15, 2025, 14:35 IST

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SUMMARY

Gold prices are up over 50% and silver has soared over 80% in 2025. The rally is largely influenced by a gap in demand and supply as demand for gold and silver has surged substantially in the past few months, leading to a sharp premium in physical delivery markets. Technical charts for gold and silver indicate an exuberance which indicates an unfavourable risk to reward.

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Gold prices jumped over 50%, while silver prices soared over 80% in 2025. Image source: Shutterstock.

Gold and silver are rocking with stellar performance in 2025, outperforming every other asset class by a wide margin. The performance is driven by a tense geopolitical environment, aggravating trade wars and a shift in stance by major central banks towards precious metals. In addition, the shortages in the physical supply of silver have led to a huge premium in prices for digital versions of the assets, like Silver ETFs.

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The rally has led to a fear-of-missing-out (FOMO) emotion for many investors who missed the bus in gold and silver. Will the gold and silver prices come down or will they continue to march higher?

Here is what the charts indicate for gold and silver

Gold prices have rallied over 54% in the last 12-month period and 60% in 2025. The rally was led by strong central bank buying across the globe and uncertainty towards the mounting US debt. World Gold Council’s report estimates the gold purchases by central banks could cross 1000 tonnes in 2025, marking the fourth consecutive year of purchases above 1000 tonnes. The large demand and limited supply have led to a relentless rally in gold prices.

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On the technical charts, the gold price shows eight consecutive weekly gains, which is one of the highest in over a decade. The prices are currently trading 17% away from the 20-SMA levels on weekly charts, indicating stretched buying levels. Historically, gold prices have reversed towards long-term averages of 20-SMA levels after trading above 15% of the 20-SMA levels. The current weekly 20-SMA stands at $3,522 per ounce.

On the other hand, silver has outperformed gold and has gained over 83% in 2025. The sharp rally in silver has led the prices to hit record high levels after 14 years. The strong demand for silver has led to supply shortages in markets, which has boosted premiums for existing silver demand. The global surge in silver prices is primarily driven by the industrial segment, as silver holds applications across electronics, solar and electrical appliances

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The silver prices have given a breakout after 14 years, indicating a new bullish momentum in the precious metal. Technically, prices reverse back to their averages after a sharp rally. Silver’s historical charts suggest the prices could go far above their long-term average of 20-SMA. On weekly charts, the prices trade 22% above the average level, indicating a far-stretched rally.

Does the chart indicate a reversal in prices? Not precisely, as gold and silver prices are influenced by demand and supply forces of the commodity. As the current rally is driven by supply shortages, the sharp dumping of silver in physical markets could lead to a sharp reversal in prices. Similarly, any deterioration in the US economy on the recession front could keep the prices elevated as well.
Disclaimer: This article is written purely for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice from Upstox. Securities mentioned are illustrative and not recommendations. Investors should do their own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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About The Author

WhatsApp Image 2025-01-20 at 11.25.23.jpeg
Rohan Takalkar is a senior writer at Upstox and a seasoned capital markets analyst with around 9 years of experience. He is passionate about writing on equities, global markets, and the economy.

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