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  1. HCL Tech Q4 results: Date, earnings preview, dividend, key technical levels & more

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HCL Tech Q4 results: Date, earnings preview, dividend, key technical levels & more

Upstox

4 min read | Updated on April 22, 2025, 08:59 IST

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SUMMARY

HCL Tech shares have rallied over 10% in the last three weeks and have encountered resistance around its 21-day exponential moving average (EMA) ahead of its earnings. Ahead of the results, traders can monitor the price action around the 21 and 50 EMAs. A close above or rejection of these levels will provide further directional insight.

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HCL Tech investors will closely watch the revenue and margin guidance for FY26.

HCL Tech investors will closely watch the revenue and margin guidance for FY26.

HCL Tech is set to announce its quarterly earnings on Tuesday, April 22. Following underwhelming Q4 results from peers like TCS, Wipro, and Infosys, investors are now looking to HCL Tech's results for a turnaround.

According to experts, HCL Tech's Q4 revenue is expected to grow by 6–8% year-on-year, ranging between ₹30,450 and ₹30,730 crore. On a sequential basis, revenue could rise by 2–4%.

Meanwhile, company's net profit could increase by 7–9% year-on-year, ranging between ₹4,250 and ₹4,550 crore. However, sequentially, net profit may see a marginal decline of 1–2%.

The EBIT margin is likely to contract by 60–100 basis points to 16–16.5%, impacted by salary hikes and weaker performance in the software segment. However, rupee depreciation may help offset some of the margin pressure.

Investors will closely watch the company’s revenue and margin guidance for FY26, new deal wins during the March quarter, final dividend announcement for FY25 and management commentary on discretionary spending and the overall demand outlook amid global economic uncertainties and ongoing U.S. tariff concerns.

Ahead of the Q4 results, HCL Tech shares ended the Monday’s session at ₹1,482, up 3%. So far this year, it is down 22.7%.

Technical view

The technical structure of HCL Tech remains weak on the weekly chart as it is currently trading below its 21-week and 50-week exponential moving averages (EMAs). It recently found support at its 200-week EMA and has rallied 10% over the past three weeks. In the coming sessions, traders can watch the range between ₹1,509 and ₹1,303. A breach of this range on a daily closing basis will provide further directional clues. Within this range, the stock may remain range-bound.

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Options outlook

Open interest data for the April 24 expiry shows heavy call option building at the 1,500 strike, suggesting that traders are anticipating resistance at this level. On the downside, strong put support has formed at the 1,400 strike. Notably, there's also significant call and put activity at the 1,460 strike, suggesting that HCL Tech could trade in a range near this area.

As of April 21, HCL Tech’s ATM strike for April expiry is at 1,480, with both the call and put options priced at ₹62. This suggests that traders are expecting a price movement of ±4.2% ahead of the April 24 expiry. However, let's take a look at HCL Tech's historical price behaviour during past earnings announcements in order to make more informed trading decisions.
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Options strategy for HCL Tech

The options market is pricing in a potential ±4.2% move ahead of the April 24 expiry. In such a scenario, traders can explore straddle strategies to capture the volatility and implied move ahead of the expiry.

Traders expecting HCL Tech to make a sharp move - up or down - beyond the expected ±4.2% range can consider a Long Straddle strategy. This involves buying both an at-the-money (ATM) call and put option with the same strike and expiry. This setup will benefit if the stock moves ±4.2% in either direction.
On the other hand, if you expect a range-bound move - say, less than ±4.2% - by the April 24, a Short Straddle might be more appropriate. This approach involves selling both an ATM call and a put in order to benefit from time decay and reduced volatility as long as the stock remains within the ±4.2% range.
Additionally, positional traders can monitor the range of ₹1,509 and ₹1,303. If you expect a breakout above this range, a Bull Call Spread could be a smart play. This strategy involves buying a call option and selling a higher strike call with the same expiry, helping lower the cost while limiting upside. On the flip side, if you think HCL Tech will face resistance around ₹1,509 or its 21-week or 50-week EMAs, a Bear Put spread may be suitable. It involves buying a put and selling a lower strike put, offering a balanced risk-reward setup for a bearish move.

Disclaimer: Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for educational purposes. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities and strategies for trading. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely for showing how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.
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