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  1. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations: Standard deduction, NPS, Capital Gain relief on wishlist

Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations: Standard deduction, NPS, Capital Gain relief on wishlist

Upstox

5 min read | Updated on January 31, 2026, 17:55 IST

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SUMMARY

Budget 2026 income tax expectations live updates: Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present Budget 2026 on Sunday, February 1. Ahead of the Budget Speech, track this blog for top expected changes by tax experts and industry bodies on January 31.

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Here's what experts expect from Budget 2026. | Image source: Shutterstock

  1. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations: Limited scope for direct tax amendments, says expert

    Dinesh Kanabar, Chairman & CEO, Dhruva Advisors, says "The Union Budget to be presented on 1 February 2026 comes at a rather unique juncture in India’s tax history. The new Income Tax Act, 2025 is scheduled to come into force from 1 April 2026. This legislation was the outcome of an extensive consultative process, including the constitution of a Parliamentary Committee, wide stakeholder representations, and detailed deliberations before the Bill was finally enacted. In this backdrop, one would ordinarily expect that this Budget would carry no substantive proposals on direct taxes, particularly amendments to a law that has not yet come into effect. Any tinkering with the framework at this stage would undermine the very purpose of introducing a clean-slate legislation."

    January 31, 2026, 16:48 PM

  2. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations Live: Expert comments on call to remove TDS/TCS in GST era

    Sandeep Bhalla, Partner, Dhruva Advisors, says, "The industry’s suggestion to waive TDS/TCS on transactions already subject to GST is well-intentioned and addresses genuine compliance challenges arising from multiple rates and frequent mismatches. Since GST provides a robust, centralised trail of transactions, some degree of duplication in reporting and tracking can indeed be reduced. However, TDS and TCS also serve as critical advance tax collection and information-gathering tools for the exchequer. A blanket withdrawal could result in a significant short-term revenue loss and potential cash-flow impact for the government, particularly in sectors with thin margins or historically lower tax compliance. Any rationalisation, therefore, must be calibrated and selective, balancing ease of compliance with the need to safeguard revenue and prevent leakage."

    January 31, 2026, 16:45 PM

  3. Budget 2026 income tax expectations Live: NPS Tier-II clarity expected

    Tax benefit for contribution to Tier-II account is available under Section 80C of the Income-tax Act, 1961 to only employees of the central government, and that too with three years’ lock-in for those who have opted for the old tax regime. Given that Tier-2 functions more like a market-linked investment product, experts argue that returns should be taxed as capital gains rather than regular income. "There is an urgent need for clarity on the taxation of NPS Tier-2 accounts. Since Tier-2 functions like a regular investment product, it should be treated as a capital asset for tax purposes," says Balwant Jain.

    January 31, 2026, 16:38 PM

  4. Budget 2026 expectations Live: Can employees expect something on 8th CPC?

    Any specific announcement related to the 8th Pay Commission salary hike is highly unlikely in the Budget speech. This is because the 8th CPC was recently set up to decide matters related to salary revisions. Such issues are not addressed through the Budget. Read more details

    January 31, 2026, 16:34 PM

  5. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations Live: ESOP taxation relief on wishlist

    Tax experts say taxability with respect to ESOPs arises in the hands of employees on allotment of shares after the exercise of ESOPs. This leads to double cash outflow for the employees: First, due to investment in the exercise price of the shares and second, due to tax liability. Read more

    January 31, 2026, 14:47 PM

  6. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations Live: Two TDS rates, suggests ICAI

    ICAI says Budget 2026 should do away with multiple TDS rates. As per the Income-tax Act, 1961, the TDS is currently deducted at six different rates: 0.1%, 1%, 2%, 5%, 10% and 20%. Given the purpose for which TDS is collected, experts at the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India (ICAI) have suggested that there could be only two rates of TDS: 1% and 5%. Read more

    January 31, 2026, 13:52 PM

  7. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations Live: Tax rebate on LTCG, STCG expected

    CA Dr Suresh Surana says the rebate available under section 87A is presently restricted to income taxed at normal slab rates and does not extend to income chargeable at special rates. "It is suggested that the rebate under section 87A be extended to include tax payable on income chargeable under sections 111A and 112A, at least up to the specified income threshold." AMFI and various other tax experts have also suggested the same.

    January 31, 2026, 13:49 PM

  8. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations Live: Higher Section 80C deduction on expert's wishlist

    The maximum limit under Section 80C has seen only modest increases over time. In 2003, the deduction cap was ₹1 lakh. In 2014, then‑Finance Minister Late Arun Jaitley raised the limit to ₹1.5 lakh to provide some relief to taxpayers, but no further increase has been made since then. “With the rising cost of living and the increasing financial burden on taxpayers, the Section 80C limit should be raised further, and it could be increased to ₹3.5 lakh to better align with the current economic conditions,” said Mumbai‑based tax and investment expert Balwant Jain.

    January 31, 2026, 13:47 PM

  9. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations Live: ₹2 lakh long-term capital gain exemption expected by AMFI

    Under the current tax regime, long-term capital gains on equity and equity-oriented mutual funds are taxed at 12.5% on gains exceeding ₹1.25 lakh in a financial year. AMFI has proposed raising this tax-free threshold to ₹2 lakh. In addition, the industry body has suggested a complete exemption on LTCG arising from equity mutual fund investments held for more than five years, in order to promote long-term wealth creation.

    January 31, 2026, 13:45 PM

  10. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations Live: Belated ITR due date extension expected

    ICAI says the due date for filing a belated and revised return under section 263(4) and section 263(5) should be extended to at least 12 months from the end of the relevant tax year (i.e., 31st March of the subsequent tax year) instead of nine months from the end of the relevant tax year. Here is the reason

    January 31, 2026, 13:38 PM

  11. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations Live: Higher Section 80D deduction

    Experts at SBI Research and ICAI have suggested raising the Section 80D deduction limits for health insurance premiums. SBI Research says Section 80D should be included in New Tax Regime, or a separate deduction like NPS should be provided. ICAI has also suggested including Section 80D deduction in new regime. Read more

    January 31, 2026, 13:30 PM

  12. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations Live: Higher standard deduction expected

    Tax experts have suggested raising the standard deduction limit under old and new tax regimes. “Given rising living and work-related expenses, the standard deduction should be increased to ₹1,00,000,” said Abhishek Soni, CEO & Co-founder, Tax2win, adding that defence personnel should get a higher deduction.

    "Consider enhancing the standard deduction u/s 16 of ITA 1961 (section 19 of ITA 2025) from ₹75,000/- to ₹150,000/- or more to help salaried employees with inflation and increased costs of living)," experts AMCHAM said in their Pre-Budget Memorandum 2026. Read more on standard deduction expectations here and here

    January 31, 2026, 13:27 PM

  13. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations Live: Clarity sought on perquisites valuation for salaried

    Tax experts are hoping for clarity in perquisite valuation in case of housing accomodation and cars from Budget 2026. They have suggested the following:

    1. Proper valuation base for housing accommodation perquisite

    2. Clarity on perquisite valuation for electric vehicles

    Here are the reasons why experts have suggested the above

    January 31, 2026, 13:12 PM

  14. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations Live: Expert suggest ₹2.5 lakh deduction under Section 123.

    Experts at the American Chambers of Commerce in India (AMCHAM) have suggested increasing the tax-saving investment limit to at least ₹2.5 lakh under Section 123. This, they say, should be done to reduce the burden on taxpayers in view of inflation. Under the existing tax rule, the deduction in respect of life insurance premiums, deferred annuity, contributions to employees' provident fund, subscription to ELSS schemes etc, are allowed under the old regime but only for up to ₹1.5 lakh. "Currently, deduction under Section 80C of the Act for payments/investments towards life insurance premia, contributions to provident fund, subscription to certain equity shares or debentures, etc. is capped at ₹1,50,000," AMCHAM experts said in their pre-budget memorandum. Read more

    January 31, 2026, 13:09 PM

  15. Budget 2026 Income Tax expectations Live: No slab change expected, what is the tax now on up to ₹30 lakh salary for AY 2026-27

    No significant change in tax slabs are expected. Income tax calculator shows tax liability on salary income of ₹12 lakh under the new tax regime will be zero. The tax liability on salary income of ₹15 lakh under the new tax regime will be ₹97,500 (including health and education cess ). The tax liability on salary income of ₹20 lakh under the new tax regime will be ₹1,92,400 (including health and education cess ). The tax liability on salary income of ₹25 lakh under the new tax regime will be ₹3,19,800 (including health and education cess). The tax liability on salary income of ₹30 lakh under the new tax regime will be ₹4,57,800 (including health and education cess).

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    January 31, 2026, 13:06 PM

  16. LIVE Income Tax rule change expectations from Budget 2026: Master circular for resident and non-resident payments

    The Bombay Chambers of Commerce and Industry (BCCI) has recommended that in case of any industry specific issues or any other common contentious issues, a guidance note/circular shall be provided by the Income Tax Department just like the circular on FBT, the Handbook on negative service tax regime, etc. which clarifies most of the doubts of the assesses. This will bring clarity and certainty in respect of various issues and reduce the litigation and save time for both the assessee as well as the Department.

    January 31, 2026, 11:58 AM

  17. Income Tax relief expectations from Budget 2026 Live: Why dividend tax should be fixed at 20%?

    According to CA Dr Suresh Surana, there is a double taxation of income in case of companies with respect to dividends: Firstly, the companies are required to pay corporate tax, and then the shareholders pay tax on the dividends. In case of resident individual shareholders, the tax on dividends can be as high as 35.88%. On the other hand, non-residents are liable to tax on dividends @ 20% (plus surcharge and cess) which may further be lowered by Double Tax Avoidance Agreements to 5%-15%.

    He suggests that Budget 2026 should fix the maximum tax on dividends distributed by domestic companies in case of resident shareholders to 20% (plus surcharge and cess). This will help reduce "the cascading effect of double taxation".

    January 31, 2026, 11:40 AM

  18. Income Tax relief for Middle Class from Budget 2026 Live: Top 8 expectations

    Ahead of Union Budget, we talked to multiple industry experts about that the Middle Class can expect from the Government in this Budget. They have suggested at least eight expectations that the Middle Class can have. Here are four of those expectations:

    1. Relief from rising prices

    2. Tax relief for salaried and pension earners

    3. Employment and income security

    4. Affordable healthcare and education

    January 31, 2026, 11:17 AM

  19. Income Tax relief expectations from Budget 2026 Live: CA suggests increasing Section 80TTB limit for senior citizens

    Ahead of Budget 2026, CA Dr Suresh Surana has suggested increasing the Section 80TTB threshold for senior citizens. He says, "Section 80TTB provides senior citizens with a higher deduction of up to ₹50,000 on interest income from deposits. The Government has extended additional relief to senior citizens by enhancing the threshold for non-deduction of tax at source on interest income to ₹1,00,000 in Budget 2025. However, the deduction limit under section 80TTB has not been aligned with this policy approach."

    "Therefore, it would be appropriate to align the deduction limit under section 80TTB be enhanced to Rs. 100,000 to provide relief to senior citizens."

    January 31, 2026, 10:37 AM

  20. Income Tax relief expectations from Budget 2026 Live: Here are the changes expected by SBI Research

    Ahead of Budget 2026, SBI Research has suggested following changes that can help the Middle Class and salaried taxpayers.
    • Tax treatment for interest on deposits should be at par with LTCG and STCG

    • Lock-in period for Tax savings FD may be made equal to ELSS of Mutual funds (3 years) to encourage deposit mobilization into banks

    • No TDS on Savings Bank Deposits interest

    • In line with NPS deduction under 80CCD(1B), a separate deduction for Term/Health insurance in the new/Old tax Regime, say ₹25,000/50,000 Else, include 80D deduction in new tax regime

    • Mandatory NPS deductions for private sector employers above certain thresholds like 100/200 employees

    • An increase in deduction limit for NPS Vatsalya under Section 80CCD(1B) for NPS contributions

    • Interoperability of EPFO and NPS subscribers

    January 31, 2026, 10:16 AM