return to news
  1. Which sectors and companies will benefit from 8th Pay Commission salary hike and why? Report explains

Personal Finance News

Which sectors and companies will benefit from 8th Pay Commission salary hike and why? Report explains

Upstox

4 min read | Updated on July 17, 2025, 08:16 IST

Twitter Page
Linkedin Page
Whatsapp Page

SUMMARY

8th Pay Commission impact: The implementation of the 7th Pay Commission in 2016 led to significant changes in consumption patterns, which in turn impacted many sectors and companies thereafter. A similar impact is expected from the 8th Pay Commission.

impact of 8th pay commission

8th CPC is expected to consumption and related sectors. | Image source: Shutterstock

The implementation of the 8th Central Pay Commission (CPC) will not only help increase the take-home income of Central Government employees and pensioners, but it's also expected to have a larger impact on the overall markets and the economy.

The implementation of the 7th Pay Commission in 2016 led to significant changes in consumption patterns, which in turn impacted many sectors and companies thereafter. A similar impact is expected from the 8th CPC.

In a recent report, Ambit Capital, a financial services firm, said, "Based on historical trends, shifts in consumption patterns since the 7th Pay Commission along with views of our sector-analysts, we expect that sectors like motor vehicles, banks, FMCG, Quick Service Restaurants (QSR), etc. should benefit from the consumption boost when salary hikes get rolled out."

However, the magnitude of the consumption boost due to the 8th CPC will depend on the actual pay hikes, which is likely to be anywhere between 14% and 54%.

"The magnitude of the boost will depend on how big the actual salary hikes are, based on the fitment factor used and when the implementation happens. Delay in implementation could reflect as higher arrear payments, which could mean a higher one-time boost to discretionary consumption," the report said.

Which sectors and companies are likely to benefit?

As per Ambit Capital's report, the 8th CPC hikes would benefit consumer discretionary, automobiles, real estate, etc.

The report shared the following names of the sectors, companies, and the reasons why they may benefit from the 8th Pay Commission salary hikes.

SectorReasonCompanies
AutomobileAs per data and qualitative evidence, government employees and pensioners tend to purchase PV and 2-heelers, especially of the entry-level segments post pay commission announcements.Hero Motorcorp and Maruti Suzuki
Real estateOur channel checks have suggested real estate purchases by Central government employees increase once pay commission recommendations are implemented. The HRA component of salary will also increase by the fitment multiple.Developers that are catering to the affordable segment will be the key beneficiaries.
BanksPay commission hikes lead to a surge in liquidity as ~11.1mn beneficiaries would see a surge in salaries/pensions.PSU Banks primarily SBI, along with a few regional players like Indian Bank, Canara Bank etc. Among private banks, Axis Bank, Yes Bank are key beneficiaries.
Insurance CompaniesThere will be arrear payouts, which could be deployed in annuities or guaranteed return schemes.HDFC Life, SBI Life, Max Financials, IPRU, LIC
Non Lending Financial CompaniesIndians generally have a high propensity to save. As seen in the last 10 years, savings have been shifting away from bank deposits to equities/mutual funds.HDFC MF (NOT COVERED), Nippon MF (NOT COVERED), KFIN, CAMS, ANGEL ONE (NOT COVERED)
CardsAs spending will increase, government employees may increase usage of credit cards to avail of better rewards.SBI cards
FMCGHigher purchasing power is expected to aid premiumisation trends.Companies such as United Spirits and United Breweries would benefit, especially from the premiumisation trend.
Consumer discretionaryAs purchasing power increases, expect growth in discretionary spending as greater financial space for impulse purchases and planned travelling etc.Apparel (Trent), Groceries (DMart), Footwear (Bata), Value Retailers (Vishal Mega Mart, V2 Retail, V-Mart, Style Baazar), QSR (Jubilant, Devyani, Sapphire Foods)
Consumer durablesAcross the board, electronics will benefit as aspirational purchases, especially amongst lower-income government jobs.Crompton, Orient Electric, Bajaj Electricals and other light electricals and kitchen appliance companies (TTK Prestige, V-Guard, etc.)
Source: Ambit Capital report
The 8th CPC is expected to be implemented in FY27. However, the Government has yet to appoint its members and notify the Terms of Reference.
Disclaimer: This article is written purely for informational purposes, based on Ambit Capital's report. It should not be considered investment advice from Upstox. Investors should do their own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ELSS
Find the best tax-saver funds for 2025.
promotion image

About The Author

Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.

Next Story