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  1. Trade setup for March 4: NIFTY50 braces for big gap down opening, will it bounce back?

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Trade setup for March 4: NIFTY50 braces for big gap down opening, will it bounce back?

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2 min read | Updated on March 04, 2026, 07:41 IST

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SUMMARY

The GIFT NIFTY futures indicate a sharp gap-down opening on Wednesday amid weak global market cues and jitters of a Middle East war spreading across Asia. The options data indicate 25,000 as the strong resistance zone with the highest open interest on the call side.

NIFTY50, SENSEX, top gainers and losers

GIFT NIFTY futures indicate gap-down opening on Wednesday.

NIFTY50

Max call OI:25,000

Max put OI:24,500

(Ten strikes to ATM, 10 March expiry)

The NIFTY50 is expected to witness continued selling pressure on Wednesday as world markets posted the sharpest selloff across the globe. The Asian markets fell over 7% on Tuesday and continued to trade lower on Wednesday morning. The US markets also fell over 2% on Wednesday. The GIFT NIFTY futures also fell over 600 points, indicating for a sharp gap down opening on Wednesday.

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Nifty50_2026-03-03_19-22-32.png

On the technical charts, the NIFTY50 managed to close above the crucial budget-day-low levels, indicating some buying support at these levels. However, the 24,571 level will be closely watched as bulls hope for a closing above these levels, for the index to bounce back near the 25,000 levels. The fresh momentum can only be expected if the index posts a weekly close above the 200 EMA levels on Friday.

March4.png

On the options data front, the initial buildup for 10th March expiry indicates 25,000 as the strong resistance zone with the highest open interest on the call side. The 24,500 puts hold the highest open interest on the downside, indicating a crucial support.

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Long buildup: -BEL

Short buildup: IndiGo, L&T

Top traded futures contracts: HDFC Bank

Top traded options contracts: HDFC Bank 850 PE

F&O securities under ban: SAMMANCAP

F&O securities out of the ban:

To access a specially curated smartlist of the most traded and active stocks, as well as the OI gainers and losers, simply log in: https://pro.upstox.com/ ➡️F&O➡️Options smartlist/Futures smartlist In Futures and Options or F&O, long build-up means an increase in Open Interest (OI) along with a price increase, and short build-up means an increase in Open Interest(OI) along with a price decrease—source: Upstox and NSE.
Disclaimer: Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop losses. The information is only for consumption by the client, and such material should not be redistributed. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities or strategies for trading. The securities quoted are exemplary and are not recommended. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely for showing how to do analysis
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About The Author

WhatsApp Image 2025-01-20 at 11.25.23.jpeg
Rohan Takalkar is a senior writer at Upstox and a seasoned capital markets analyst with around 9 years of experience. He is passionate about writing on equities, global markets, and the economy.

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