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  1. Expiry trade setup: Will NIFTY50 sustain the breakout above 25,700 on Monday?

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Expiry trade setup: Will NIFTY50 sustain the breakout above 25,700 on Monday?

Upstox

2 min read | Updated on October 20, 2025, 07:45 IST

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SUMMARY

GIFT NIFTY futures indicate a sharp gap-up opening for Indian markets on Monday. The options data for today's expiry indicates a broad range of 25,500 to 26,000.

Leading the gains, Nifty FMCG surged 2.02%, fuelled by strong Q2 FY26 results from Nestle India. Image: Shutterstock

GIFT NIFTY futures indicate a sharp gap up opening for Indian markets.

NIFTY50

Max call OI:26,000

Max put OI:25,500

( Ten strikes to ATM, 20 Oct expiry)

NIFTY50 has successfully continued to march ahead on Friday with another 1.6% gain. The index heavyweights like Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank, and ICICI Bank reported their Q2 results over the weekend. Reliance Industries reported an 18% YoY jump in net profit, while HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank reported an 11% and 5% YoY jump in net profit.

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Nifty50_2025-10-20_07-16-37.png

On the technical front, the index has successfully given a breakout above the crucial swing high trendline on weekly charts, indicating a new bullish momentum ahead of Diwali in the Indian markets. For the index to cross above 26,000 levels, it should continue to hold the gains during the current week as well.

nifty20oct.png

On the options data front, the 26,000 calls hold the highest open interest, indicating a strong resistance zone for today’s expiry. On the other hand, 25,500 puts hold the highest open interest, indicating a strong support zone for today’s expiry.

The India ViX index jumped nearly 7% on Friday, indicating heightened volatility in the Indian markets ahead.

Bullish outlook

Traders with bullish sentiment can execute a long call strategy by buying 25,700 calls. The strategy would turn profitable after the index moves above 25,789.

Bearish outlook

Traders with a bearish outlook can execute a long put strategy by buying a put strike of 25,800. The strategy would turn profitable after the index moves below the 25,676 level.

To access a specially curated smartlist of the most traded and active stocks, as well as the OI gainers and losers, simply visit:

https://pro.upstox.com/ --> F&O --> Options smartlist/Futures smartlist. In Futures and Options or F&O, long build-up means an increase in Open Interest (OI) along with a price increase, and short build-up means an increase in Open Interest(OI) along with a price decrease—source: Upstox and NSE.
Disclaimer: Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop losses. The information is only for consumption by the client, and such material should not be redistributed. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities or strategies for trading. The securities quoted are exemplary and are not recommended. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely for showing how to do analysis.
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About The Author

Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.

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