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  1. Expiry Trade setup: Will NIFTY50 hold 25,500 on expiry; all you need to know

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Expiry Trade setup: Will NIFTY50 hold 25,500 on expiry; all you need to know

Upstox

2 min read | Updated on July 03, 2025, 07:53 IST

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SUMMARY

GIFT NIFTY futures indicate a positive opening for Indian markets on Thursday. The index closed below 25,500 on Wednesday. However, traders and experts expect the index to bounce back and hold the 25,500 support. Options data indicates, 25,600 may remain resistance for today's expiry with the highest open interest on the call side.

Stock markets in India are usually closed on the weekends, except in special cases like the Union Budget

GIFT NIfty futures indicates positive start for Indian markets on Thursday.

NIFTY50

Max call OI:

Max put OI:

(Ten strikes to the ATM,03 July expiry)

NIFTY50 fell below the 25,500 recent support zone, indicating a strong supply zone at higher levels. The index was dragged by banking stocks like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and others. ON the upside, 25,800 remains a key resistance level for now, a closing beyond these levels may only create room for further upside

On the technical charts, the 21 EMA level of 25,136 remains crucial support for the NIFTY50 in the coming weeks to hold the bullish outlook for the Index. On the upside, 25,800 levels remain crucial resistance for the month. Nifty-50_2025-07-03_07-42-05.webp Options data for today’s expiry indicates 25,600 as the crucial resistance level as it witnessed heavy open interest addition in Wednesday’s trading session. On the downside, 25,000 puts hold the highest open interest for today’s expiry. nifty03july.webp

Bullish outlook

Traders with bullish sentiment can execute a long call strategy by buying 25,450 calls. The strategy would turn profitable after the index moves above 24,514.

Bearish outlook

Traders with a bearish outlook can execute a long put strategy by buying a put strike of 25,500. The strategy would turn profitable after the index moves below the 24,407 level.

To access a specially curated smartlist of the most traded and active stocks, as well as the OI gainers and losers, simply log in: https://pro.upstox.com/ ➡️F&O➡️Options smartlist/Futures smartlist In Futures and Options or F&O, long build-up means an increase in Open Interest (OI) along with a price increase, and short build-up means an increase in Open Interest(OI) along with a price decrease. Source: Upstox and NSE.
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