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  1. Profit booking and expensive valuation in select Pharma and PSU stocks resulted in a decrease in FII stake

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Profit booking and expensive valuation in select Pharma and PSU stocks resulted in a decrease in FII stake

Upstox

9 min read | Updated on June 13, 2024, 15:11 IST

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SUMMARY

Expensive valuations of Indian equities, taking profit off the tables in certain stocks after stellar returns, and rising US interest rates resulted in the reduction of stake in FIIs in these stocks in Q4FY24.

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Profit booking and expensive valuation in select Pharma and PSU stocks resulted in a decrease in FII stake

Generally, the thumb rule for Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) inflow into emerging markets is that a fall in US interest rates leads to an increase in FII inflows, and vice versa. Currently, inflation in the US remains above the Federal Reserve's target rate, creating uncertainty related to potential rate cuts. As a result, FIIs have turned sceptical with their holdings in the Indian markets.

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As a general rule, a reduction in Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) stake in a company is not a good sign.

FIIs stake sale can negatively impact for several reasons

  1. It can signal a lack of confidence in the company's future prospects, which can negatively impact market sentiment and the stock price.
  2. FIIs provide substantial liquidity to the markets. A reduction in their stake may decrease the liquidity of the stock, making it harder for other investors to buy or sell shares.
  3. FIIs stake decrease might lead to a perception of weakening corporate governance standards.

InQ4FY24 (January to March), the FIIs stood as net sellers with net sales ₹48,626.12 equities during the period, this created panic in the market with general elections ahead. (Source - Moneycontrol)

Here are stocks where FIIs have trimmed their position significantly in Q4FY24

Bandhan Bank - India's youngest universal bank saw a substantial stake sale of 3.55% by FIIs in Q4FY24. The private lenders FIIs holding decreased from 34.75% to 31.20 for the period ending on 31st March 2024.

The lender has been under a leadership crisis, the founder and CEO Chandra Shekhar Ghosh has stepped down from his role despite his renewal being approved by the company’s board. There has been news that RBI, the regulator, had some reservations about his renewal. Its financing margin for Q4FY24 turned negative (-) 12% against positive (+) 9% in Q3FY24.

Crompton Greaves Consumer - FIIs holding in Q4FY24 of Crompton Greaves saw a decrease of 3.40%.The FII's stake fell from 35.58% in Q3FY24 to 32.18% in Q4FY24. The company’s operating margin decreased in Q3FY24 to 9% from 10% in preceding quarters, over the periods company’s margins have remained volatile. This volatility in the company's margins led to trimming FII's stake in the company.
Cyient - The IT company saw a 3.07% drop in FIIs holding in Q4FY24 with FIIs holding remaining at 34.11%. The stock price has gained over 145% in calendar year FY23. The drop in holding could be attributed to profit books by FIIs in the stock. Additionally, the IT sector has been struggling in recent quarters as clients cut spending on non-essential projects.
Container Corporation of India - The shareholding pattern saw a change in FIIs holding in Q4FY24 by 2.92%. The FIIs holding in PSU stock changed to 16.63% in Q4FY24 from 19.55% in previous quarters. The company’s poor sales growth and expensive valuation promoted stake cuts by FIIs.
Aurobindo Pharma - FIIs holding took a cut of 2.71% in the pharmaceutical company for the period ended on March 24. The stock has turned multibagger in calendar year FY23, the stake cut could be due to profit taking in the stock after a sharp rally in the stock price of Aurobindo Pharma.
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals - FIIs holding dropped by 2.33% in Glenmark in Q4FY24. The company reported a net operating loss of ₹209 crore in Q3FY24 which alerted FIIs for trimming their stake in the company.
Godrej Industries - Godrej Industries saw its FII stake trimmed by 2.25% in Q4FY24. The expensive valuation, low dividend payout and volatility in margins promoted the stake cut for FIIs.

Below tables summarize FIIs substantial stake decrease in Q4FY24 in Nifty 500 companies with market capitalisation above ₹20,000 crore

NameIndustryFII Holding as on 31st December 2023FII Holding as on 31st March 2024Change in FII holding
Bandhan BankBanks - Private Sector34.75%31.20%-3.55%
Crompton Greaves ConsumerElectric Equipment35.58%32.18%-3.40%
CyientComputers - Software - Medium / Small34.11%31.04%-3.07%
Container Corporation of IndiaMiscellaneous19.55%16.63%-2.92%
Aurobindo PharmaPharmaceuticals - Indian - Bulk Drugs & Formln20.72%18.01%-2.71%
Glenmark PharmaceuticalsPharmaceuticals - Indian - Bulk Drugs & Formln23.71%21.38%-2.33%
Godrej IndustriesChemicals10.17%7.92%-2.25%
(Source - Screener)

Other companies which saw FIIs stake decrease in Q4FY24 in Nifty 500 with market capitalisation above ₹20,000 crore

NameIndustryFII Holding as on 31st December 2023FII Holding as on 31st March 2024Change in FII holding
Ambuja CementsCement - North India11.09%9.90%-1.98%
AU Small Finance BankBanks - Private Sector41.13%39.37%-1.76%
Dalmia Bharat LtdCement - South India12.96%11.37%-1.59%
Asian PaintsPaints / Varnishes17.32%15.89%-1.43%
Eicher MotorsAutomobiles - Motorcycles / Mopeds30.27%28.95%-1.32%
Angel One LtdFinance & Investments17.27%17.95%-1.16%
Biocon LtdPharmaceuticals - Indian - Bulk Drugs & Formln6.55%5.63%-0.92%
CG Power & Industrial SolutionsElectric Equipment16.05%15.18%-0.87%
Axis BankBanks - Private Sector54.68%53.84%-0.84%
Federal BankBanks - Private Sector29.38%28.57%-0.81%
Britannia IndustriesFood - Processing - MNC18.99%18.23%-0.76%
Dabur IndiaPersonal Care - Indian16.49%15.82%-0.67%
Canara BankBanks - Public Sector11.21%10.57%-0.64%
Apollo HospitalsHealthcare46.25%45.63%-0.62%
GMR Airports InfraEngineering - Turnkey Services27.38%26.78%-0.60%
Ajanta PharmaPharmaceuticals - Indian - Formulations9.11%8.54%-0.57%
CIE Automotive IndiaCastings & Forgings5.63%5.11%-0.52%
Fortis HealthcareHealthcare23.72%23.24%-0.48%
Gland PharmaPharmaceuticals - Indian - Formulations4.05%3.59%-0.46%
HPCLRefineries14.26%13.80%-0.46%
Balkrishna IndustriesTyres12.69%12.24%-0.45%
Godrej ConsumerPersonal Care - Indian22.94%22.56%-0.38%
Bajaj FinanceFinance & Investments20.92%20.55%-0.37%
Coromandel InternationalFertilizers7.71%7.34%-0.37%
CreditAccess GrameenFinance & Investments12.00%11.65%-0.35%
FSN E-CommerceTrading10.65%10.32%-0.33%
Adani EnterprisesTrading14.65%14.41%-0.24%
Bharat Electronics LtdElectronics - Components17.77%17.56%-0.21%
Coal IndiaMining / Minerals / Metals8.59%8.41%-0.18%
Divi's LaboratoriesPharmaceuticals - Indian - Bulk Drugs14.85%14.68%-0.17%
Bharat DynamicsEngineering3.09%2.95%-0.14%
AIA EngineeringCastings & Forgings18.29%18.16%-0.13%
Bharat ForgeCastings & Forgings16.60%16.48%-0.12%
Bajaj AutoAutomobiles - Scooters And 3 - Wheelers14.64%14.53%-0.11%
Colgate-PalmolivePersonal Care - Multinational24.62%24.51%-0.11%
Grindwell NortonAbrasives And Grinding Wheels8.42%8.31%-0.11%
General Insurance Corporation of IndiaFinance & Investments0.95%0.87%-0.08%
ACCCement - North India6.24%6.17%-0.07%
GAIL (India)Miscellaneous14.24%14.17%-0.07%
Gujarat FluorochemicalsChemicals4.58%4.51%-0.07%
Godrej PropertiesConstruction29.73%29.67%-0.06%
Bajaj HoldingsFinance & Investments11.57%11.53%-0.04%
Finolex IndustriesPlastics Products11.06%11.58%-0.04%
Devyani InternationalHotels12.47%12.44%-0.03%
Endurance TechnologiesAuto Ancillaries7.82%7.79%-0.03%
Berger PaintsPaints / Varnishes10.68%10.66%-0.02%
(Source - Screener)

During Q4FY24 FIIs stake cut was observed across all sectors including Banking, Cement, Automobiles, Construction, Equipment manufacturing, FMCG, Pharma, Engineering, Paints etc.

In the Cement sector Ambuja, Dalmia Bharat and ACC saw stake sales of 1.98%,1.59% and 0.07%, respectively. In the auto sector, Eicher saw a large stake cut of 1.32%, and among private bankers AU Small Finance Bank saw a substantial cut of 1.76%.

Asian Paints saw a decrease in stake of 1.43% by the FIIs. The cut in stake would be attributable to a range of factors including rising interest rates in the US, election volatility in India, profit books in stock, expensive valuation of companies, and slow growth in sales with margin pressures on corporates.

Disclaimer: This article is only for educational purpose. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities and strategies for trading. The securities quoted are exemplary and are not recommendatory. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely for showing how to do analysis. Take your own decision before trading and investing.
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