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  1. MCX Gold pulls back from all-time high zone, Crude oil retest ₹5,800 breakout level; check today’s trade setup

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MCX Gold pulls back from all-time high zone, Crude oil retest ₹5,800 breakout level; check today’s trade setup

Upstox

3 min read | Updated on August 06, 2025, 15:58 IST

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SUMMARY

MCX Gold October futures faced rejection from the ₹1,02,000 mark, which is the upper end of a rising wedge pattern. The broader trend remains bullish, supported by the 21- and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). Breaking out above ₹1,02,000 could resume the uptrend, whereas falling below ₹99,000 could weaken momentum.

Silver prices extended the consolidation for the six sessions in a row, forming a doji candlestick pattern on the daily chart.

MCX Silver September futures are trading in a steady uptrend, supported by higher lows along the rising trendline.

Market recap (as of 4:00 pm)

  • Gold 3 Oct Futures: ₹1,00,700/ 10 gram (▼ 0.6%)
  • Silver 5 Sept Futures: ₹1,14,636/ 1 kg (▼ 0.3%)
  • Crude Oil 19 Aug Futures: ₹5,817/ 1 BBL ▲ 1.2%)
Gold: The yellow metal traded lower in the international market as futures contract traded at $3,419 per ounce, down 0.4%. Gold prices slipped after two days reacting to weak US economic data. On Tuesday, ISM purchasing managers’ index fell to 50.1 in July, below forecasts for 51.5 along with weak US payroll report.
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Crude oil: International crude oil futures traded higher, with Brent Futures trading around $68.6, up 1.5%, while WTI Crude traded 1.5% higher, around $66.1. Oil prices rebounded from a five-week low amid US President Donald Trump threat to India with higher tariffs over its Russian crude purchases.

Technical view

Gold October futures are trading within a rising wedge pattern, consistently respecting the upper resistance and lower support trendlines. After reaching the upper boundary at around ₹1,02,000, the price was rejected and is currently consolidating. However, the broader trend remains positive, with the 21 EMA (₹99,497) and the 50 EMA (₹98,466) continuing to provide dynamic support. A decisive breakout above ₹102,000 could signal continuation of the bullish trend, while a close below ₹99,000 may suggest weakening short-term momentum.

GOLD-03OCT25-FUT_2025-08-06_15-0.webp

MCX Silver September futures are trading in a steady uptrend, supported by higher lows along the rising trendline. After testing support near the lower end of the trendline and the 50 EMA (₹109,069), it rebounded, suggesting support-based buying. However, it is currently encountering resistance in the region of ₹115,500–₹116,000. A strong close above this resistance band could trigger a fresh rally, whereas sustained trading below ₹112,000 could signal profit-taking.

SILVER-05SEP25-FUT_2025-08-06_15.webp

Crude oil August futures has now slipped towards the breakout zone of ₹5,800 and has retested the level along with its 50 EMA.The price action is currently forming an inside candle on the daily chart. A sustained move above ₹5,850 and a close above 21 EMA will reignite bullish momentum. Meanwhile, a close below 50 EMA and ₹5,700 may lead to a retest of lower trendline support near ₹5,600.

CRUDEOIL-19AUG25-FUT_2025-08-06_.webp

Disclaimer:

Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for the client's consumption, and such material should not be redistributed. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities, or strategies for trading. The securities quoted are exemplary and are not recommendatory. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely to show how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.

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