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  1. MCX Gold forms bearish engulfing pattern, crude oil maintains downtrend; check today's trade setups

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MCX Gold forms bearish engulfing pattern, crude oil maintains downtrend; check today's trade setups

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3 min read | Updated on February 17, 2025, 18:10 IST

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SUMMARY

MCX Gold and silver witnessed significant profit-booking on February 14th, forming bearish candlestick patterns on the weekly chart. Gold formed a shooting star pattern, which is formed after an uptrend and a reversal pattern. A close below the low of the reversal pattern will signal further weakness.

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Gold witnessed profit booking on Friday and formed a shooting star candlestick pattern on the weekly chart. | Image: Shutterstock

Market recap (as of 6:00 pm)

  • Gold 4 April Futures: ₹85,021/ 10 gram (▲ 0.39%)
  • Silver 5 March Futures: ₹95,618/ 1 kg (▲ 0.03%)
  • Crude Oil 19 March Futures: ₹6,160/ 1 BBL (▼ 0.08%)
Gold: The yellow metal traded higher on Monday, with gold April Futures trading 0.42% higher at $2,912 per ounce. Gold prices continue to trade near its all-time high as demand for safe-haven assets remains strong amid uncertainty over U.S. trade tariffs and interest rates. Investors look forward to FOMC minutes to be announced later this week. Meanwhile, silver traded higher, up 0.25% at $32.93 per troy ounce in the futures market.
Crude Oil: International crude oil futures traded marginally higher today, with Brent Futures trading around $74.75, up 0.10%, while WTI Crude traded 0.15% higher around $70.80. Oil prices are trading steady as traders/investors look for more clues amid news of a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal that could ease sanctions disrupting global supply flows.

Last week, U.S. President Donald Trump said his officials had begun discussions with Russia to end the war in Ukraine. As per experts, If these negotiation efforts lead to some resolution, then more Russian oil barrels would enter global supplies, which could significantly impact oil prices negatively.

Technical structure

Gold: The yellow metal witnessed profit booking on Friday and formed a shooting star candlestick pattern on the weekly chart. It is a reversal pattern formed after an uptrend, signifying that the price attempted to rise significantly during the week, but the sellers took over and pushed the price back towards the open.

The daily chart of 4 March futures saw the formation of bearish engulfing pattern on February 14th. The reversal pattern will be confirmed if the close of the subsequent candle is below the low of the February 14th. Meanwhile, a close above the high of the reversal pattern will negate the pattern.

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Silver: Silver extended the positive momentum for the fourth week in a row and zoomed past the immediate resistance zone of $33.39. However, it witnessed a sharp profit-booking on Friday and failed to capture the crucial resistance on a closing basis, forming a doji candlestick pattern on the weekly chart.

Meanwhile, the technical structure of 5 March Futures on MCX failed to capture the resistance zone of ₹96,500 on a closing basis. This indicates that silver may consolidate between the support zone of ₹93,600 and the resistance of ₹96,500. A break of this range on a closing basis will provide further clues.

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Crude oil: Oil prices extended the losing momentum for the fourth week in a row and WTI crude ended around previous week’s low. Meanwhile, the 19 March futures chart on MCX took support around the crucial level of ₹6,100 and is currently trading below the crucial 21-day and 50-day exponential moving averages. Unless crude reclaims the resistance zone of ₹6,300 zone, the trend may remain weak.
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The open interest data for the 17 March expiry saw significant call options build-up at 6,200 and 6,300 strikes, indicating resistance for crude around this zone.

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Disclaimer:

Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for the client's consumption, and such material should not be redistributed. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities, or strategies for trading. The securities quoted are exemplary and are not recommendatory. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely to show how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.

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