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  1. MCX Gold and Silver sustains parabolic rally; check key technical level and trade setup

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MCX Gold and Silver sustains parabolic rally; check key technical level and trade setup

Upstox

2 min read | Updated on October 16, 2025, 19:20 IST

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SUMMARY

MCX Gold December futures continued its parabolic rally, reaching a new lifetime high of ₹1,28,025. The trend remains firmly bullish, supported by safe-haven demand and expectations of lower interest rates. However, such sharp, vertical movements often precede short-term pullbacks.

MCX gold today

MCX Silver December futures continue to rally, surging to ₹1.63 lakh and reaching new multi-month highs.

Market recap (as of 7:00 pm)

  • Gold 5 Dec Futures: ₹1,28,450/ 10 gram (▲ 0.9%)
  • Silver 5 Dec Futures: ₹1,64,456/ 1 kg (▲ 1.2%)
  • Crude Oil 20 Oct Futures: ₹5,139/ 1 BBL (▼ 0.2%)

Technical view

Gold December futures on MCX entered a parabolic phase, extending their sharp rally to ₹1,28,025 , a fresh record high. The uptrend remains intact, with price trading well above all key moving averages, the 21-EMA and 50-EMA. While the trend remains bullish, traders should note that parabolic advances often precede volatile corrections once profit-taking begins. Immediate support is seen near ₹1,23,500–₹1,22,000 (previous breakout zone), and a sustained close below ₹1,20,000 could mark the first sign of exhaustion.

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GOLD-05DEC25-FUT_2025-10-16_14-4.webp

MCX Silver December futures have continued their parabolic rally, surging to ₹1,63,560 and reaching new multi-month highs. The uptrend remains strong, with the price holding well above the 21- and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), signalling firm bullish momentum. However, such steep rallies often lead to bouts of sharp profit-booking. Immediate support is seen near ₹1,52,000–₹1,48,000 (the previous breakout zone), and sustained movement below ₹1,45,000 could be an early sign of a trend reversal.

SILVER-05DEC25-FUT_2025-10-16_14.webp

Crude Oil October futures remained weak, slipping to ₹5,151 as bearish momentum deepened below the short-term moving averages. The price has broken decisively below the key support zone of ₹5,400–₹5,350, turning it into a fresh resistance area. Both the 21-EMA and 50-EMA are sloping downward, indicating sustained downside pressure. A sustained move below ₹5,000 could open the door for further decline toward ₹4,850 levels, whereas any pullback toward ₹5,400 is likely to face renewed selling pressure.

CRUDEOIL-20OCT25-FUT_2025-10-16_.webp

Disclaimer:

Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for the client's consumption, and such material should not be redistributed. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities, or strategies for trading. The securities quoted are exemplary and are not recommendatory. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely to show how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.

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Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.

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