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  1. MCX Gold and silver shine bright in lead-up to Donald Trump’s swearing-in; check today's trade setup

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MCX Gold and silver shine bright in lead-up to Donald Trump’s swearing-in; check today's trade setup

Upstox

3 min read | Updated on January 16, 2025, 17:47 IST

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SUMMARY

MCX silver's price action is currently at a pivotal point, hovering slightly above the downward-sloping trendline drawn from its previous all-time high. A daily close above this trendline and the immediate swing high of ₹93,650 could pave the way for an extended bullish move.

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Commodity trade setup Jan 16: Gold and Silver shine bright in lead-up to Donald Trump’s swearing-in

Market recap (as of 5:30 pm)

  • Gold 5 Feb Futures: ₹78,963/ 10 gram (▲ 0.32%)
  • Silver 5 March Futures: ₹93,009/ 1 kg (▲ 0.16%)
  • Crude Oil 19 Feb Futures: ₹6,760/ 1 BBL (▼ 0.50%)

Technical structure

Gold: The yellow metal formed a bullish candle on the daily chart on 15 January and closed above the high of doji candlestick pattern, formed a day before. This indicates support based buying in gold which is trading near its immediate resistance zone of ₹79,200. If gold captures the resistance zone on a closing basis, then it may test its previous all-time high. On the other hand, the immediate support is now placed at ₹78,000. A close below this zone will signal a pause in the momentum and a potential trend reversal.
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Silver: The price action of silver is currently placed at a crucial juncture, a tad above the downward sloping trendline connecting its previous all-time high. If Silver ends the day above this trendline and closes above the immediate swing high of ₹93,650, then it may extend the bullish momentum up to ₹96,500 zone, the crucial resistance.

From a technical standpoint, it formed a bullish candle on the daily chart of 15 January and is currently trading above all its key exponential moving averages (EMAs) like 21,50 and 200.

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Crude oil: The oil prices witnessed profit booking after forming a bullish candle on 15 January. The crude is currently providing early signs of the formation of shooting star candlestick pattern on the daily chart of the 19 February’s futures on MCX.

A shooting star is a reversal candlestick pattern which is formed after an uptrend and consists of a small body and a long upper wick. It indicates potential selling pressure, as buyers fail to sustain higher prices and sellers regain control. However, the pattern gets confirmed after the close of the subsequent candle is below the low of the reversal pattern.

Traders can closely monitor the early signs of the formation of the reversal pattern. Meanwhile, a close above the previous session’s high will invalidate the pattern.

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Meanwhile, the open interest data of the 17 February expiry saw significant put build-up at 6,700 and 6,500 strikes, suggesting support for the crude oil around these levels. On the other hand, the call base was established at 7,000 strike, indicating resistance for the crude around this zone.

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Disclaimer:

Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for the client's consumption, and such material should not be redistributed. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities, or strategies for trading. The securities quoted are exemplary and are not recommendatory. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely to show how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.

About The Author

Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.

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