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  1. US ‘core’ inflation slows to 0.2%,easing inflation woes

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US ‘core’ inflation slows to 0.2%,easing inflation woes

Upstox

2 min read | Updated on May 31, 2024, 19:38 IST

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SUMMARY

US core inflation index falls to 0.2%, lower than expected, triggering small gains in the stock market. However, consumer spending remains weak.

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US ‘core’ inflation slows to 0.2%, sending stocks higher

The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index for April rose 0.2% month, lower than the market’s expectation of 0.3%, triggering hope that the worst of the recent inflation rise may be behind. The broader PCE index rose 0.3%, in line with expectations.

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The core PCE index strips out the impact of volatile energy and food prices, and is the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge to track prices.

The Dow Jones rose 0.2% in opening trade following the release of the data, while the US dollar index fell 0.3%.

On a year-on-year basis, prices measured by the core PCE and PCE indices rose 2.8% and 2.7%, respectively.

Economists viewed the data positively, as core PCE prices came in at the lowest since December.

Still, it remains to be seen if the data allows the Fed to cut interest rates earlier than expected as the central bank is keen for prices to come down to its 2% target on a year-on-year basis.

Alongside, the Fed also released the personal income and spending data, which showed that consumer spending, which accounts for 70% of the US GDP, rose a modest 0.2%, the lowest in three months and less than economists’ expectations. However, consumer spending may have also been affected by the earlier Easter.

Incomes increased by 0.3%, slightly lower than the 0.5% in the previous month.

“Personal saving was $744.5 billion in April and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent,” the Fed said in its statement.
“The market has spent this year worried about inflation and there was a sigh of relief this morning when it wasn’t higher than expected and there may even be some good news in the report to the extent that a slowing in consumer spending could portend lower inflation numbers,” Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance, told CNBC.
Why is it important? The core PCE is taken as a gauge by the Federal Reserve for assessing inflation in the economy. The rise in consumer spending indicates a higher probability of inflation and vice versa. Considering a slower increase in consumer spending brings relief and increases the hope for rate cuts if the inflation rate softens further.

About The Author

Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.

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